Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.754586 0.866107 0.987687 1.129976 1.291845 1.470164 1.681416
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.625565 0.784940 0.973745 1.213484 1.509380 1.862211 2.314473
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.528554 0.719973 0.964702 1.299459 1.744321 2.313984 3.097574
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.434560 0.639363 0.920547 1.332730 1.919207 2.721052 3.897529
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.369885 0.584634 0.899594 1.391700 2.137136 3.219015 4.902077
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.305561 0.516872 0.846709 1.393882 2.272664 3.620858 5.835058
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.261663 0.471534 0.818644 1.427312 2.458964 4.124289 6.998140
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.216494 0.414566 0.760815 1.400919 2.542732 4.476586 7.972991
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.193090 0.390994 0.754964 1.461109 2.780645 5.114906 9.516577
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.175553 0.374673 0.758744 1.538293 3.059437 5.861226 11.354202
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.154078 0.346131 0.734123 1.556837 3.230699 6.435871 12.958714
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.134399 0.317234 0.703430 1.557426 3.365732 6.958862 14.535300
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.117465 0.291280 0.675058 1.559747 3.508436 7.524184 16.291975
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.103676 0.269676 0.652229 1.570155 3.670120 8.151177 18.265848
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.093752 0.255257 0.642950 1.609312 3.900846 8.954372 20.724341
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.082422 0.234880 0.616022 1.602667 4.026874 9.549561 22.815333
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.075019 0.223187 0.608047 1.640327 4.262415 10.419916 25.641932
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.065856 0.204655 0.579374 1.621045 4.356809 10.979433 27.828424
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.059755 0.193512 0.568018 1.644731 4.562526 11.829548 30.820856
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.051999 0.175672 0.535103 1.604612 4.596849 12.267679 32.867130
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.048734 0.171028 0.538542 1.666253 4.912449 13.451083 36.941987
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.046375 0.168793 0.548640 1.748900 5.298839 14.867235 41.801351
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.042327 0.159994 0.537380 1.766523 5.504724 15.836467 45.610814